Primeira Liga· Regular Season - 10
Benfica
Alverca2 Nov
Benfica vs Alverca Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 2 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Benfica vs Alverca tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Benfica +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XBenfica or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Alverca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| X2Alverca or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Benfica to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.47 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Benfica -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 2Alverca to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Alverca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.51 | - |
Benfica vs Alverca preview & analysis
Match preview
Benfica host Alverca in the Primeira Liga (Regular Season - 10) on Monday, 2 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Benfica arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Celtic 4-1 at home. They're 2nd in the table with 19 points from 8 games. Alverca arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Famalicao 4-1 away. They're 8th in the table with 11 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Benfica have won 2, Alverca have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Benfica narrow favourites: Benfica 44%, draw 38%, Alverca 18%. We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 62% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Benfica 2-1 Alverca.
Recent form
Benfica- 15 OctHCeltic4-1
- 11 OctHVitória SC2-0
- 20 SeptAFC Porto1-3
- 16 SeptAAC Milan2-0
- 13 SeptHGIL Vicente3-1
Alverca- 12 OctAFamalicao4-1
- 19 SeptHRio Ave1-0
- 12 SeptANacional3-1
- 5 SeptHSC Braga1-2
- 29 AugHSanta Clara1-1
Head to head
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 |  Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Benfica vs Alverca: FAQ
What is the Benfica vs Alverca prediction?
+
Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Benfica 2-1 Alverca.
Who is the favourite to win Benfica vs Alverca?
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Benfica are favourites. Our model gives Benfica a 44% chance of winning, Alverca 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Benfica vs Alverca?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Benfica vs Alverca kick off?
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Benfica vs Alverca kicks off at 20:15 UTC on Monday, 2 November 2026.
