Europa League· Play-offs· Estádio da Luz
Benfica
Aarhus3-1
FT
Benfica vs Aarhus Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 20 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Benfica vs Aarhus tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Benfica +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.21 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Aarhus +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 77% | 1.29 | - |
| 1XBenfica or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 67% | 1.48 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Aarhus or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| 1Benfica to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 33% | 3.07 | - |
| 2Aarhus to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Benfica -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 23% | 4.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Aarhus -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.72 | - |
Benfica vs Aarhus preview & analysis
Match preview
Benfica host Aarhus in the Europa League (Play-offs) at Estádio da Luz on Thursday, 20 August 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Benfica narrow favourites: Benfica 37%, draw 31%, Aarhus 32%. We expect around 3.4 goals (1.8 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 67% for over 2.5 and 67% for both teams to score.
Europa League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
Benfica vs Aarhus: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Benfica vs Aarhus?
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Benfica are favourites. Our model gives Benfica a 37% chance of winning, Aarhus 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Benfica vs Aarhus?
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We rate both teams to score at 67%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Benfica vs Aarhus kick off?
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Benfica vs Aarhus kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 20 August 2026 at Estádio da Luz, Lisbon.
