La Liga· Regular Season - 2· Estadio Municipal de Butarque
Rayo Vallecano
Alaves1-1
FT
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 20 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Alaves +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2Alaves or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Rayo Vallecano +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| 1XRayo Vallecano or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| 2Alaves to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Alaves -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.11 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 1Rayo Vallecano to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Rayo Vallecano -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.33 | - |
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves preview & analysis
Match preview
Rayo Vallecano host Alaves in the La Liga (Regular Season - 2) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque on Thursday, 20 August 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Rayo Vallecano have won 4, Alaves have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 1.7 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Alaves narrow favourites: Rayo Vallecano 23%, draw 38%, Alaves 39%. We expect around 3.7 goals (1.5 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 71% for over 2.5 and 69% for both teams to score.
Head to head
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Levante | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?
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Alaves are favourites. Our model gives Rayo Vallecano a 23% chance of winning, Alaves 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves?
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We rate both teams to score at 69%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves kick off?
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Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Thursday, 20 August 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes.
