Bundesliga· Regular Season - 8· Allianz Arena
Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund31 Oct
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.47
Expected goals
2.2 - 1.3
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Match probabilities
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More Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Bayern München +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XBayern München or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Borussia Dortmund +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Borussia Dortmund or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 1Bayern München to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Bayern München -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| 2Borussia Dortmund to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Borussia Dortmund -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.07 | - |
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund preview & analysis
Match preview
Bayern München host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 8) at Allianz Arena on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 17:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Bayern München arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Viking 3-3 away. They're 3rd in the table with 11 points from 5 games. Borussia Dortmund arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Most recently they lost to Bodo/Glimt 0-1 away. They're 2nd in the table with 13 points from 5 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Bayern München have won 3, Borussia Dortmund have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Bayern München narrow favourites: Bayern München 44%, draw 38%, Borussia Dortmund 18%. We expect around 3.5 goals (2.2 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 68% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Bayern München 2-1 Borussia Dortmund.
Recent form
Bayern München- 13 OctAViking3-3
- 10 OctAFC Augsburg2-2
- 18 SeptHUnion Berlin7-0
- 13 SeptASV Elversberg2-1
- 10 SeptHBodo/Glimt5-0
Borussia Dortmund- 14 OctABodo/Glimt0-1
- 9 OctHWerder Bremen2-2
- 19 SeptAVfB Stuttgart1-0
- 12 SeptHSC Paderborn 073-0
- 8 SeptHVillarreal3-2
Head to head
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 | Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 |  FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund: FAQ
What is the Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Bayern München 2-1 Borussia Dortmund.
Who is the favourite to win Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?
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Bayern München are favourites. Our model gives Bayern München a 44% chance of winning, Borussia Dortmund 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
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Bayern München vs Borussia Dortmund kicks off at 17:30 UTC on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at Allianz Arena, Munich.
