Ligue 2· Regular Season - 34· Stade Armand Cesari
Bastia
Le Mans0-2
FT
Bastia vs Le Mans Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 9 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Bastia vs Le Mans tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Le Mans +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Bastia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Le Mans or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XBastia or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | - |
| 2Le Mans to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Bastia to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Le Mans -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 22% | 4.53 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Bastia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.05 | - |
Bastia vs Le Mans preview & analysis
Match preview
Bastia host Le Mans in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 34) at Stade Armand Cesari on Saturday, 9 May 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Bastia have won 4, Le Mans have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.2 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Le Mans narrow favourites: Bastia 23%, draw 38%, Le Mans 39%. We expect around 2.3 goals (0.9 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 40% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estac Troyes | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | +27 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | +19 | 62 |
| 3 |  Saint Etienne | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +21 | 60 |
| 4 |  RED Star FC 93 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | +8 | 58 |
| 5 |  Rodez | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | +6 | 58 |
| 6 |  Reims | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | +18 | 56 |
| 7 |  Annecy | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | +10 | 52 |
| 8 |  Montpellier | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +10 | 51 |
| 9 |  PAU | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | -14 | 45 |
| 10 |  Dunkerque | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | +8 | 43 |
| 11 |  Guingamp | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 40 |
| 12 |  Grenoble | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | -6 | 39 |
| 13 |  Clermont Foot | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
| 14 |  Nancy | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -17 | 37 |
| 15 |  Boulogne | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -15 | 36 |
| 16 |  Laval | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | -18 | 32 |
| 17 | Bastia | 34 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -16 | 28 |
| 18 |  Amiens | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | -28 | 24 |
Bastia vs Le Mans: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Bastia vs Le Mans?
+
Le Mans are favourites. Our model gives Bastia a 23% chance of winning, Le Mans 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Bastia vs Le Mans?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Bastia vs Le Mans kick off?
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Bastia vs Le Mans kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Saturday, 9 May 2026 at Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia.
