Eredivisie· Regular Season - 12· AFAS Stadion
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen8 Nov
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.50
Expected goals
2.4 - 1.3
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5AZ Alkmaar +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XAZ Alkmaar or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Groningen +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| X2Groningen or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| 1AZ Alkmaar to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| AH1 -1.5AZ Alkmaar -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 39% | 2.57 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 33% | 3.01 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2Groningen to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Groningen -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.84 | - |
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen preview & analysis
Match preview
AZ Alkmaar host Groningen in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 12) at AFAS Stadion on Sunday, 8 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
AZ Alkmaar arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 19 points from 8 games. Groningen arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Excelsior 5-1 away. They're 6th in the table with 14 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, AZ Alkmaar have won 4, Groningen have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AZ Alkmaar narrow favourites: AZ Alkmaar 44%, draw 38%, Groningen 18%. We expect around 3.7 goals (2.4 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 71% for over 2.5 and 67% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 67% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Groningen.
Recent form
AZ Alkmaar- 15 OctHHapoel Beer Sheva2-1
- 10 OctAFeyenoord0-2
- 20 SeptHTelstar1-0
- 16 SeptASunderland0-1
- 11 SeptHWillem II1-1
Groningen- 11 OctAExcelsior5-1
- 18 SeptHPEC Zwolle3-0
- 12 SeptAGO Ahead Eagles1-1
- 6 SeptHTwente2-2
- 28 AugHFortuna Sittard2-3
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 | Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  NEC Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: FAQ
What is the AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Groningen.
Who is the favourite to win AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
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AZ Alkmaar are favourites. Our model gives AZ Alkmaar a 44% chance of winning, Groningen 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen?
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We rate both teams to score at 67%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen kick off?
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AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen kicks off at 15:45 UTC on Sunday, 8 November 2026 at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar.
