Serie B· Regular Season - 8· Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Avellino
Padova24 Oct
Avellino vs Padova Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.7 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Avellino vs Padova tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Avellino +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAvellino or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Padova +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.44 | - |
| X2Padova or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.05 | - |
| 1Avellino to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Avellino -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.27 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2Padova to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Padova -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.61 | - |
Avellino vs Padova preview & analysis
Match preview
Avellino host Padova in the Serie B (Regular Season - 8) at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Avellino arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Sampdoria 4-1 at home. They're 6th in the table with 10 points from 6 games. Padova are struggling for results, with 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Carrarese 0-2 at home. They're 10th in the table with 7 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 5 meetings between these sides, Avellino have won 1, Padova have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 1.8 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Avellino narrow favourites: Avellino 44%, draw 38%, Padova 18%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.7 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 51% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Avellino 1-0 Padova.
Recent form
Avellino- 9 OctHSampdoria4-1
- 19 SeptAAscoli1-3
- 13 SeptHPalermo1-1
- 6 SeptAModena1-0
- 29 AugHVicenza Virtus3-0
Padova- 11 OctHCarrarese0-2
- 19 SeptAPalermo1-2
- 12 SeptHAscoli1-0
- 6 SeptACremonese1-3
- 29 AugHHellas Verona1-1
Head to head
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 3 |  Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 5 |  Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 |  Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Vicenza Virtus | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 |  Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 |  Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 2 |
Avellino vs Padova: FAQ
What is the Avellino vs Padova prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Avellino 1-0 Padova.
Who is the favourite to win Avellino vs Padova?
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Avellino are favourites. Our model gives Avellino a 44% chance of winning, Padova 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Avellino vs Padova?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Avellino vs Padova kick off?
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Avellino vs Padova kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino.
