MLS· Regular Season - 27· Atlanta Stadium
Atlanta United FC
New York City FC2-2
FT
Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 27 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5New York City FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Atlanta United FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.24 | - |
| X2New York City FC or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 61% | 1.63 | - |
| 1XAtlanta United FC or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2New York City FC to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 39% | 2.58 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| 1Atlanta United FC to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5New York City FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.00 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Atlanta United FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.37 | - |
Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC preview & analysis
Match preview
Atlanta United FC host New York City FC in the MLS (Regular Season - 27) at Atlanta Stadium on Sunday, 27 September 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Atlanta United FC arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Portland Timbers 1-0 away. They're 14th in the table with 30 points from 29 games. New York City FC arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to New York Red Bulls 0-1 at home. They're 10th in the table with 33 points from 29 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Atlanta United FC have won 1, New York City FC have won 1 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes New York City FC narrow favourites: Atlanta United FC 23%, draw 38%, New York City FC 39%. We expect around 2.0 goals (0.8 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 32% for over 2.5 and 39% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Atlanta United FC- 20 SeptAPortland Timbers1-0
- 13 SeptADC United0-0
- 10 SeptHOrlando City SC2-3
New York City FC- 19 SeptHNew York Red Bulls0-1
- 13 SeptAReal Salt Lake2-0
- 10 SeptHNew England Revolution1-2
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | +41 | 66 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +20 | 52 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | +7 | 49 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +9 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 45 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 38 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 33 |
| 11 |  Toronto FC | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -11 | 33 |
| 12 |  DC United | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -12 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -24 | 24 |
Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
+
New York City FC are favourites. Our model gives Atlanta United FC a 23% chance of winning, New York City FC 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC?
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We rate both teams to score at 39%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC kick off?
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Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Sunday, 27 September 2026 at Atlanta Stadium, Atlanta.
