Nations League· League D - 2· Dariaus ir Girėno stadionas
Lithuania
Azerbaijan1-1
FT
Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 27 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Lithuania vs Azerbaijan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Lithuania +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Azerbaijan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| 1XLithuania or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Azerbaijan or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.71 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.41 | - |
| 1Lithuania to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| 2Azerbaijan to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Lithuania -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 5.01 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Azerbaijan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.40 | - |
Lithuania vs Azerbaijan preview & analysis
Match preview
Lithuania host Azerbaijan in the Nations League (League D - 2) at Dariaus ir Girėno stadionas on Sunday, 27 September 2026, with kick-off at 13:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Lithuania arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Liechtenstein 2-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 4 points from 3 games. Azerbaijan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Tajikistan 1-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 5 points from 3 games.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Lithuania have won 0, Azerbaijan have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 0.0 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lithuania narrow favourites: Lithuania 37%, draw 31%, Azerbaijan 32%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Lithuania- 24 SeptALiechtenstein2-0
- 9 JunAEstonia0-1
- 6 JunHLatvia1-1
Azerbaijan- 23 SeptHTajikistan1-0
- 9 JunHSan Marino2-1
- 5 JunHMalta0-2
Head to head
Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 2 | Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
Lithuania vs Azerbaijan: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
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Lithuania are favourites. Our model gives Lithuania a 37% chance of winning, Azerbaijan 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Lithuania vs Azerbaijan?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Lithuania vs Azerbaijan kick off?
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Lithuania vs Azerbaijan kicks off at 13:00 UTC on Sunday, 27 September 2026 at Dariaus ir Girėno stadionas, Kaunas.
