FA Cup· 1st Round Qualifying
Ascot United
Pagham1-1
FT
Ascot United vs Pagham Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 6 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Ascot United vs Pagham tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Ascot United +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Pagham +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XAscot United or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2Pagham or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| 1Ascot United to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2Pagham to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Ascot United -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Pagham -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 6.92 | - |
Ascot United vs Pagham preview & analysis
Match preview
Ascot United host Pagham in the FA Cup (1st Round Qualifying) on Sunday, 6 September 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Ascot United arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 3 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Margate 3-0 at home. Pagham are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 13. Most recently they lost to Horsham YMCA 2-3 at home.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Ascot United narrow favourites: Ascot United 37%, draw 31%, Pagham 32%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Ascot United- 28 AugHMargate3-0
- 25 AprHMetropolitan Police2-3
- 18 AprARaynes Park Vale4-1
Pagham- 2 AugHHorsham YMCA2-3
- 3 AugAErith Town2-6
- 5 AugHEast Grinstead Town0-4
Ascot United vs Pagham: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Ascot United vs Pagham?
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Ascot United are favourites. Our model gives Ascot United a 37% chance of winning, Pagham 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Ascot United vs Pagham?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Ascot United vs Pagham kick off?
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Ascot United vs Pagham kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Sunday, 6 September 2026.
