Saudi Pro League· Regular Season - 10· King Saud University Stadium
Al-Nassr
NEOM20 Oct
Al-Nassr vs NEOM Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.8 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
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More Al-Nassr vs NEOM tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Al-Nassr +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAl-Nassr or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5NEOM +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.46 | - |
| X2NEOM or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1Al-Nassr to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Al-Nassr -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2NEOM to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5NEOM -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.34 | - |
Al-Nassr vs NEOM preview & analysis
Match preview
Al-Nassr host NEOM in the Saudi Pro League (Regular Season - 10) at King Saud University Stadium on Tuesday, 20 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Al-Nassr arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat Neftchi 3-1 at home. They're 3rd in the table with 19 points from 8 games. NEOM arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 3. Most recently they beat Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut 4-0 at home. They're 5th in the table with 16 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, Al-Nassr have won 2, NEOM have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Al-Nassr narrow favourites: Al-Nassr 44%, draw 38%, NEOM 18%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 53% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Al-Nassr 1-0 NEOM.
Recent form
Al-Nassr- 12 OctHNeftchi3-1
- 9 OctHAl Diriyah3-0
- 15 SeptAAl Ain0-4
- 12 SeptAAl Khaleej Saihat1-1
- 9 SeptHAbha2-1
NEOM- 13 OctHAl Sha'ab Hadhramaut4-0
- 10 OctAAl-Hazm1-1
- 13 SeptHAl-Fateh4-2
- 7 SeptAAl-Hilal Saudi FC2-0
- 3 SeptHAl Khaleej Saihat3-0
Head to head
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 |  Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
Al-Nassr vs NEOM: FAQ
What is the Al-Nassr vs NEOM prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 1-0 NEOM.
Who is the favourite to win Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
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Al-Nassr are favourites. Our model gives Al-Nassr a 44% chance of winning, NEOM 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Al-Nassr vs NEOM kick off?
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Al-Nassr vs NEOM kicks off at 18:00 UTC on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh.
