Saudi Pro League· Regular Season - 10· Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
Al Diriyah
Al Riyadh20 Oct
Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.54
Expected goals
0.9 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Al Riyadh +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Al Diriyah +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| X2Al Riyadh or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| 1XAl Diriyah or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 59% | 1.69 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 41% | 2.44 | - |
| 2Al Riyadh to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | - |
| 1Al Diriyah to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Al Riyadh -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 4.93 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.20 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Al Diriyah -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 11.87 | - |
Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh preview & analysis
Match preview
Al Diriyah host Al Riyadh in the Saudi Pro League (Regular Season - 10) at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium on Tuesday, 20 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Al Diriyah arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Al-Nassr 0-3 away. They're 9th in the table with 11 points from 8 games. Al Riyadh arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Al-Fayha 1-1 away. They're 12th in the table with 9 points from 8 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Al Riyadh narrow favourites: Al Diriyah 23%, draw 38%, Al Riyadh 39%. We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 35% for over 2.5 and 41% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 65% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Al Diriyah 0-1 Al Riyadh.
Recent form
Al Diriyah- 9 OctAAl-Nassr0-3
- 13 SeptHAbha0-0
- 9 SeptAAl-Fateh2-1
- 3 SeptHAl-Qadisiyah FC0-2
- 29 AugAAl-Ettifaq3-0
Al Riyadh- 11 OctAAl-Fayha1-1
- 13 SeptHAl Kholood2-0
- 7 SeptAAl Khaleej Saihat0-0
- 4 SeptAAl-Ahli Jeddah0-5
- 28 AugHNEOM1-0
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 |  Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh: FAQ
What is the Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Al Diriyah 0-1 Al Riyadh.
Who is the favourite to win Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh?
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Al Riyadh are favourites. Our model gives Al Diriyah a 23% chance of winning, Al Riyadh 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh?
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We rate both teams to score at 41%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh kick off?
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Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh.
