Saudi Pro League· Regular Season - 11· King Abdullah Sports City
Al-Ittihad FC
Al Diriyah23 Oct
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 23 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
Add to My Teams
Pick the teams and leagues you care about. We save them on this device, no sign-up needed.
Fan vote
Who will win?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
How many goals?
Votes: 0Vote to see what other fans think
Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Al-Ittihad FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAl-Ittihad FC or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Al Diriyah +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Al Diriyah or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1Al-Ittihad FC to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Al-Ittihad FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Al Diriyah to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Al Diriyah -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah preview & analysis
Match preview
Al-Ittihad FC host Al Diriyah in the Saudi Pro League (Regular Season - 11) at King Abdullah Sports City on Friday, 23 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Al-Ittihad FC arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1-2 at home. They're 4th in the table with 17 points from 8 games. Al Diriyah arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Al-Nassr 0-3 away. They're 9th in the table with 11 points from 8 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Al-Ittihad FC narrow favourites: Al-Ittihad FC 44%, draw 38%, Al Diriyah 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Al-Ittihad FC 1-0 Al Diriyah.
Recent form
Al-Ittihad FC- 13 OctHShabab Al Ahli Dubai1-2
- 10 OctAAl-Hilal Saudi FC2-3
- 14 SeptAAl Shamal1-1
- 11 SeptAAl-Faisaly FC3-1
- 8 SeptHAl-Fayha2-1
Al Diriyah- 9 OctAAl-Nassr0-3
- 13 SeptHAbha0-0
- 9 SeptAAl-Fateh2-1
- 3 SeptHAl-Qadisiyah FC0-2
- 29 AugAAl-Ettifaq3-0
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 |  Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah: FAQ
What is the Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah prediction?
+
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Al-Ittihad FC 1-0 Al Diriyah.
Who is the favourite to win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?
+
Al-Ittihad FC are favourites. Our model gives Al-Ittihad FC a 44% chance of winning, Al Diriyah 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?
+
We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah kick off?
+
Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Friday, 23 October 2026 at King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah.
