Saudi Pro League· Regular Season - 10· King Abdullah Sports City Stadium
Al-Fayha
Al-Ahli Jeddah19 Oct
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 19 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-2
Fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
0.7 - 2.5
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Expert analysis
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli: Over 2.5 Goals Looks the Most Likely Outcome
Analysis by Tunde Okafor
Europa League, Conference League, Turkey & Saudi ·
Al-Ahli Jeddah travel to Al-Fayha with strong scoring form, and the model makes Over 2.5 goals the most probable result. The main risk is Al-Fayha's low scoring output, but Al-Ahli's attack makes this a solid strong-probability play.
Form & Context
Al-Ahli arrive in strong scoring form while Al-Fayha are still searching for a win.
- Al-Ahli Jeddah: 3W 1D 1L in their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of their last 5; Al-Fayha have 0W 3D 2L and over 2.5 in 2 of 5.
- Al-Ahli sit 6th with 15 points from 8; Al-Fayha are 14th with 7 from 9.
Team News
With two days until kickoff, team news is provisional and no starting line-ups are confirmed.
- Al-Fayha reported on 16 October that the first team resumed training under Fábio Carille.
- No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either side were verified in official sources as of 17 October.
- Riyad Mahrez is no longer an Al-Ahli option; Reuters reported he joined Qatar's Al-Shamal as a free agent.
- Al-Ahli's postponed Matchweek 9 game against Al-Nassr will now be played on 6 March 2027.
Key Matchup
The model points to Al-Ahli's attack as the main driver of goals.
- Expected goals: Al-Ahli 2.50, Al-Fayha 0.70, with most likely score 0-2.
- Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at best odds 1.46, fair odds 1.61.
- This is a strong-probability pick rather than a big-value price, with a 62% model probability.
- BTTS is at 53%, but Al-Ahli are expected to do most of the scoring.
The Numbers
The numbers support the tip, though there is one clear risk.
- Al-Ahli's games have gone over 2.5 in 4 of 5; Al-Fayha's in 2 of 5.
- The main risk: Al-Fayha have scored only 4 in their last 5, so a low-scoring Al-Ahli off day could keep the total under 2.5.
- Al-Ahli's 4-0 win at Al-Fateh on 9 October shows their scoring power.
Three reasons we like this tip
- 1Al-Ahli have scored 12 in their last 5, with over 2.5 goals in 4 of those.
- 2Al-Fayha have conceded 7 in their last 5 and their matches often produce goals.
- 3The model gives Over 2.5 a 62% probability, making it the most likely outcome.
Verdict
Back Over 2.5 goals at 1.46. The risk is Al-Fayha's low scoring, but Al-Ahli's form and the model's 62% probability make this the most likely result.
We use AI tools to help summarise the data and research behind this preview. Every pick, probability and number comes from OhMyTip's own prediction models and the sources listed below.
Match probabilities
More Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Al-Ahli Jeddah +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 98% | 1.02 | - |
| X2Al-Ahli Jeddah or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | 1.08 |
| 2Al-Ahli Jeddah to win | 66% | 1.52 | 1.31 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | 1.60 |
| AH2 -1.5Al-Ahli Jeddah -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 54% | 1.84 | 1.93 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | 1.74 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | 2.00 |
| AH1 +1.5Al-Fayha +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 46% | 2.19 | 1.81 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 | 2.24 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 | 2.38 |
| 1XAl-Fayha or Draw | 34% | 2.92 | 3.20 |
| XDraw | 22% | 4.50 | 5.47 |
| 1Al-Fayha to win | 12% | 8.30 | 7.00 |
| AH1 -1.5Al-Fayha -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 2% | 45.93 | - |
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 7.00 | 4.75 | 1.30 | - | - | 1.70 | 2.00 |
| 1xBet | 8.15 | 5.47 | 1.31 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.74 | 1.96 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.50 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 7.40 | 4.95 | 1.28 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.74 | 1.93 |
| Pinnacle | 7.17 | 5.36 | 1.33 | 1.49 | 2.55 | - | - |
Recent form
Al-Fayha- 15 OctAAl Khaleej Saihat0-2
- 11 OctHAl Riyadh1-1
- 12 SeptAAl Shabab0-0
- 8 SeptAAl-Ittihad FC1-2
- 3 SeptHAl Kholood2-2
Al-Ahli Jeddah- 12 OctAAl-Wasl FC3-1
- 9 OctAAl-Fateh4-0
- 19 SeptAMamelodi Sundowns1-2
- 14 SeptHPakhtakor1-1
- 11 SeptHAl-Hazm3-1
Head to head
Saudi Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 |  Al Shabab | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 2 |
Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: FAQ
What is the Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.46. Our predicted score is Al-Fayha 0-2 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Who is the favourite to win Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
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Al-Ahli Jeddah are favourites. Our model gives Al-Fayha a 12% chance of winning, Al-Ahli Jeddah 66%, and the draw 22%.
Will both teams score in Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah kick off?
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Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah kicks off at 15:05 UTC on Monday, 19 October 2026 at King Abdullah Sports City Stadium, Buraidah.
