Eredivisie· Regular Season - 33· Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax
Utrecht1-2
FT
Ajax vs Utrecht Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 10 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Ajax vs Utrecht tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Ajax +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Utrecht +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | - |
| 1XAjax or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| X2Utrecht or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 1Ajax to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| 2Utrecht to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Ajax -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.05 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Utrecht -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.23 | - |
Ajax vs Utrecht preview & analysis
Match preview
Ajax host Utrecht in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 33) at Johan Cruijff Arena on Sunday, 10 May 2026, with kick-off at 14:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Ajax have won 2, Utrecht have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 4.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Ajax narrow favourites: Ajax 38%, draw 32%, Utrecht 30%. We expect around 3.5 goals (1.9 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | +56 | 84 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | +26 | 65 |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +24 | 59 |
| 4 |  Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | +19 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | +21 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +13 | 53 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | +7 | 52 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 51 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | +4 | 48 |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -22 | 43 |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | -14 | 39 |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | +1 | 38 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 38 |
| 14 |  Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -27 | 37 |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -20 | 32 |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -23 | 29 |
| 18 |  Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | -50 | 19 |
Ajax vs Utrecht: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Ajax vs Utrecht?
+
Ajax are favourites. Our model gives Ajax a 38% chance of winning, Utrecht 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Ajax vs Utrecht?
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We rate both teams to score at 68%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Ajax vs Utrecht kick off?
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Ajax vs Utrecht kicks off at 14:45 UTC on Sunday, 10 May 2026 at Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam.
