League One· Regular Season - 17· The Cherry Red Records Stadium
AFC Wimbledon
Barnsley28 Nov
AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 28 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.7 - 0.9
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5AFC Wimbledon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XAFC Wimbledon or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Barnsley +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| X2Barnsley or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 1AFC Wimbledon to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5AFC Wimbledon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 2Barnsley to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Barnsley -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 13.91 | - |
AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley preview & analysis
Match preview
AFC Wimbledon host Barnsley in the League One (Regular Season - 17) at The Cherry Red Records Stadium on Saturday, 28 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
AFC Wimbledon arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 3. Most recently they lost to Plymouth 1-2 away. They're 12th in the table with 12 points from 9 games. Barnsley are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 15. Most recently they lost to Stockport County 1-3 away. They're 19th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 4 meetings between these sides, AFC Wimbledon have won 1, Barnsley have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AFC Wimbledon narrow favourites: AFC Wimbledon 44%, draw 38%, Barnsley 18%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Barnsley.
Recent form
AFC Wimbledon- 10 OctAPlymouth1-2
- 6 OctHBarnet0-0
- 26 SeptACambridge United1-1
- 17 SeptHMilton Keynes Dons0-0
- 12 SeptHDoncaster1-0
Barnsley- 10 OctAStockport County1-3
- 6 OctAFleetwood Town1-4
- 22 SeptHLeeds United U213-4
- 19 SeptHLeicester1-1
- 15 SeptAPeterborough3-3
Head to head
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plymouth | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Bradford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 |  Huddersfield | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 10 |  Burton Albion | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |  Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 14 |  Luton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 17 |  Leicester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 |  Blackpool | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 |  Peterborough | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 21 |  Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley: FAQ
What is the AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Barnsley.
Who is the favourite to win AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley?
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AFC Wimbledon are favourites. Our model gives AFC Wimbledon a 44% chance of winning, Barnsley 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley kick off?
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AFC Wimbledon vs Barnsley kicks off at 15:00 UTC on Saturday, 28 November 2026 at The Cherry Red Records Stadium, London.
