La Liga 2· Regular Season - 10· Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
AD Ceuta FC
Oviedo18 Oct
AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.86
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
More AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Oviedo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| AH1 +1.5AD Ceuta FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.27 | 1.12 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| X2Oviedo or Draw | 71% | 1.40 | 1.41 |
| 1XAD Ceuta FC or Draw | 60% | 1.67 | 1.56 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 52% | 1.92 | 1.80 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 48% | 2.09 | 1.96 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | 2.04 |
| 2Oviedo to win | 40% | 2.49 | 2.45 |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.21 | 3.36 |
| 1AD Ceuta FC to win | 29% | 3.48 | 2.97 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.88 | 3.42 |
| AH2 -1.5Oviedo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.70 | 4.80 |
| AH1 -1.5AD Ceuta FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.71 | 6.25 |
AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.38 | - | - | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| 1xBet | 2.97 | 3.36 | 2.45 | 2.04 | 1.81 | 1.76 | 1.96 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.38 | 2.08 | 1.73 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| Marathonbet | 2.88 | 3.26 | 2.38 | 1.99 | 1.76 | 1.76 | 1.93 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.30 | 1.98 | 1.71 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
| Pinnacle | 2.97 | 3.39 | 2.40 | 2.08 | 1.76 | - | - |
AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo preview & analysis
Match preview
AD Ceuta FC host Oviedo in the La Liga 2 (Regular Season - 10) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
AD Ceuta FC arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Sabadell 1-2 at home. They're 21st in the table with 5 points from 9 games. Oviedo arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Eibar 3-1 at home. They're 9th in the table with 14 points from 9 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Oviedo narrow favourites: AD Ceuta FC 29%, draw 31%, Oviedo 40%. We expect around 2.5 goals (1.1 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 46% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at 1.81, which our model rates at a 54% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is AD Ceuta FC 0-1 Oviedo.
Recent form
AD Ceuta FC- 10 OctHSabadell1-2
- 4 OctACastellón1-1
- 26 SeptHReal Sociedad II3-1
- 20 SeptHValladolid1-1
- 11 SeptABurgos1-3
Oviedo- 12 OctHEibar3-1
- 2 OctAEldense1-4
- 27 SeptHSporting Gijon2-0
- 20 SeptASabadell1-3
- 13 SeptAValladolid3-0
La Liga 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  Castellón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 7 |  Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Granada CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Valladolid | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 1 |
AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo: FAQ
What is the AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.81. Our predicted score is AD Ceuta FC 0-1 Oviedo.
Who is the favourite to win AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?
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Oviedo are favourites. Our model gives AD Ceuta FC a 29% chance of winning, Oviedo 40%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo?
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We rate both teams to score at 52%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo kick off?
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AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo kicks off at 12:00 UTC on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta.
