A-League· Regular Season - 5· Sky Stadium
Wellington Phoenix
Macarthur22 Nov
Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 22 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.5
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Macarthur +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Macarthur or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Wellington Phoenix +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XWellington Phoenix or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.06 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Macarthur to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Macarthur -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.07 | - |
| 1Wellington Phoenix to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Wellington Phoenix -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.13 | - |
Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur preview & analysis
Match preview
Wellington Phoenix host Macarthur in the A-League (Regular Season - 5) at Sky Stadium on Sunday, 22 November 2026, with kick-off at 02:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Wellington Phoenix arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Macarthur 0-4 away. They're 8th in the table with 0 points from 0 games. Macarthur arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Most recently they drew with SD Raiders 1-1 away. They're 11th in the table with 0 points from 0 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Wellington Phoenix have won 3, Macarthur have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Macarthur narrow favourites: Wellington Phoenix 23%, draw 38%, Macarthur 39%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.1 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Wellington Phoenix 0-1 Macarthur.
Recent form
Wellington Phoenix- 24 AprAMacarthur0-4
- 18 AprHWestern Sydney Wanderers2-1
- 12 AprAMelbourne City0-2
- 5 AprAMelbourne Victory1-0
- 21 MarABrisbane Roar2-1
Macarthur- 11 AugASD Raiders1-1
- 22 JulAUni Azzurri3-0
- 24 AprHWellington Phoenix4-0
- 19 AprAAdelaide United1-3
- 12 AprAPerth Glory1-3
Head to head
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Adelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |  Central Coast Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Newcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Perth Glory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Melbourne Victory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Melbourne City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Macarthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Auckland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur: FAQ
What is the Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Wellington Phoenix 0-1 Macarthur.
Who is the favourite to win Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur?
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Macarthur are favourites. Our model gives Wellington Phoenix a 23% chance of winning, Macarthur 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur kick off?
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Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur kicks off at 02:00 UTC on Sunday, 22 November 2026 at Sky Stadium, Wellington.
