A-League· Regular Season - 2· Sky Stadium
Wellington Phoenix
Central Coast Mariners25 Oct
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.70
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
More Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Wellington Phoenix +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| 1XWellington Phoenix or Draw | 80% | 1.26 | 1.26 |
| AH2 +1.5Central Coast Mariners +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.60 | 1.32 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | 1.48 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 60% | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| 1Wellington Phoenix to win | 51% | 1.96 | 1.87 |
| X2Central Coast Mariners or Draw | 49% | 2.04 | 1.98 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 | 2.36 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 40% | 2.49 | 2.32 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | 2.33 |
| AH1 -1.5Wellington Phoenix -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.67 | 2.88 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.52 | 3.94 |
| 2Central Coast Mariners to win | 20% | 4.89 | 4.04 |
| AH2 -1.5Central Coast Mariners -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.90 | 7.50 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.80 | - | - | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.94 | 4.04 | 1.63 | 2.36 | 1.54 | 2.32 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.80 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.90 | 1.58 | 2.29 | 1.54 | 2.28 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.90 | 1.57 | 2.21 | 1.50 | 2.38 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners preview & analysis
Match preview
Wellington Phoenix host Central Coast Mariners in the A-League (Regular Season - 2) at Sky Stadium on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 02:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Wellington Phoenix arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Macarthur 0-4 away. They're 8th in the table with 0 points from 0 games. Central Coast Mariners are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Most recently they lost to Western Sydney Wanderers 1-5 away. They're 4th in the table with 0 points from 0 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Wellington Phoenix have won 2, Central Coast Mariners have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Wellington Phoenix favourites: Wellington Phoenix 51%, draw 28%, Central Coast Mariners 20%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 59% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.63, which our model rates at a 59% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Central Coast Mariners.
Recent form
Wellington Phoenix- 24 AprAMacarthur0-4
- 18 AprHWestern Sydney Wanderers2-1
- 12 AprAMelbourne City0-2
- 5 AprAMelbourne Victory1-0
- 21 MarABrisbane Roar2-1
Central Coast Mariners- 26 SeptAWestern Sydney Wanderers1-5
- 12 SeptAVanuatu United0-1
- 9 SeptAVanuatu United2-3
- 22 JulASydney United1-1
- 25 AprANewcastle Jets0-4
Head to head
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sydney | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 |  Western Sydney Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 |  Adelaide United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Central Coast Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |  Newcastle Jets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Perth Glory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |  Melbourne Victory | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Melbourne City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |  Macarthur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |  Auckland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners: FAQ
What is the Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.63. Our predicted score is Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Central Coast Mariners.
Who is the favourite to win Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners?
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Wellington Phoenix are favourites. Our model gives Wellington Phoenix a 51% chance of winning, Central Coast Mariners 20%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners?
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We rate both teams to score at 60%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners kick off?
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Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners kicks off at 02:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Sky Stadium, Wellington.
