Championship· Regular Season - 1· Vicarage Road
Watford
Southampton2-1
FT
Watford vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 16 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Watford vs Southampton tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Southampton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.08 | - |
| X2Southampton or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Watford +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| 1XWatford or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 51% | 1.97 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 49% | 2.03 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Southampton to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Southampton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.36 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| 1Watford to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Watford -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.02 | - |
Watford vs Southampton preview & analysis
Match preview
Watford host Southampton in the Championship (Regular Season - 1) at Vicarage Road on Sunday, 16 August 2026, with kick-off at 12:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Watford have won 0, Southampton have won 3 and 3 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Southampton narrow favourites: Watford 17%, draw 41%, Southampton 42%. We expect around 2.6 goals (0.9 - 1.7 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 | Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 8 |  Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Watford vs Southampton: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Watford vs Southampton?
+
Southampton are favourites. Our model gives Watford a 17% chance of winning, Southampton 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Watford vs Southampton?
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We rate both teams to score at 49%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Watford vs Southampton kick off?
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Watford vs Southampton kicks off at 12:30 UTC on Sunday, 16 August 2026 at Vicarage Road, Watford.
