Brasileirão· Regular Season - 19· Estádio Manoel Barradas
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama1-0
FT
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 16 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Vitoria +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XVitoria or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Vasco DA Gama +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Vasco DA Gama or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Vitoria to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Vitoria -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Vasco DA Gama to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Vasco DA Gama -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama preview & analysis
Match preview
Vitoria host Vasco DA Gama in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 19) at Estádio Manoel Barradas on Thursday, 16 July 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Vitoria have won 2, Vasco DA Gama have won 4 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Vitoria narrow favourites: Vitoria 44%, draw 38%, Vasco DA Gama 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
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Vitoria are favourites. Our model gives Vitoria a 44% chance of winning, Vasco DA Gama 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama kick off?
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Vitoria vs Vasco DA Gama kicks off at 22:30 UTC on Thursday, 16 July 2026 at Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador.
