Champions League· League Stage - 3· MHPArena
VfB Stuttgart
Atletico Madrid20 Oct
VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.60
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.6
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Match probabilities
More VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Atletico Madrid +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 83% | 1.21 | 1.10 |
| AH1 +1.5VfB Stuttgart +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.26 | 1.19 |
| X2Atletico Madrid or Draw | 66% | 1.52 | 1.44 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.55 | 1.44 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | 1.49 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | 1.67 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.42 | 2.40 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.61 | 2.40 |
| 2Atletico Madrid to win | 37% | 2.68 | 2.32 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.82 | 2.75 |
| 1VfB Stuttgart to win | 34% | 2.91 | 3.01 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.53 | 3.96 |
| AH2 -1.5Atletico Madrid -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.86 | 3.92 |
| AH1 -1.5VfB Stuttgart -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 17% | 5.76 | 5.45 |
VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.60 | 2.20 | - | - | 1.44 | 2.75 |
| 1xBet | 3.01 | 3.96 | 2.32 | 1.49 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.70 | 2.26 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.53 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| Marathonbet | 2.93 | 3.85 | 2.26 | 1.49 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.58 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.47 | 2.63 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.75 | 2.20 | 1.51 | 2.34 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.93 | 3.82 | 2.24 | 1.53 | 2.51 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.64 | 3.34 | 2.11 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.25 | 1.55 | 2.55 | 1.45 | 2.62 |
VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid preview & analysis
Match preview
VfB Stuttgart host Atletico Madrid in the Champions League (League Stage - 3) at MHPArena on Tuesday, 20 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
VfB Stuttgart arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Slovan Bratislava 3-0 away. They're 4th in the table with 6 points from 2 games. Atletico Madrid arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat Manchester United 2-0 at home. They're 15th in the table with 3 points from 2 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Atletico Madrid narrow favourites: VfB Stuttgart 34%, draw 28%, Atletico Madrid 37%. We expect around 3.2 goals (1.5 - 1.6 in expected goals), with 62% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Our tip
VfB Stuttgart should avoid defeat, and double chance covers the draw for extra safety. Our pick is VfB Stuttgart or Draw at 1.68, which our model rates at a 63% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Atletico Madrid.
Recent form
VfB Stuttgart- 14 OctASlovan Bratislava3-0
- 10 OctASC Paderborn 072-0
- 1 OctHSpVgg Greuther Fürth5-0
- 25 SeptH1. FC Heidenheim3-0
- 19 SeptHBorussia Dortmund0-1
Atletico Madrid- 13 OctHManchester United2-0
- 10 OctAAlaves2-1
- 20 SeptHReal Madrid2-1
- 16 SeptHOsasuna4-0
- 13 SeptAReal Sociedad3-0
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 6 |  Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Villarreal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |  Club Brugge KV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 |  Manchester City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid: FAQ
What is the VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid prediction?
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Our tip is VfB Stuttgart or Draw at odds of 1.68. Our predicted score is VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Atletico Madrid.
Who is the favourite to win VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
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Atletico Madrid are favourites. Our model gives VfB Stuttgart a 34% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid 37%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
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VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at MHPArena, Stuttgart.
