Liga Profesional· Apertura - Round of 16· Jose Amalfitani
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia L.P.0-1
FT
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction & Betting Tips
Monday, 11 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P. tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Gimnasia L.P. +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.10 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Velez Sarsfield +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.27 | - |
| X2Gimnasia L.P. or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| 1XVelez Sarsfield or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| 2Gimnasia L.P. to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| 1Velez Sarsfield to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Gimnasia L.P. -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.54 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Velez Sarsfield -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.44 | - |
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P. preview & analysis
Match preview
Velez Sarsfield host Gimnasia L.P. in the Liga Profesional (Apertura - Round of 16) at Jose Amalfitani on Monday, 11 May 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Velez Sarsfield have won 3, Gimnasia L.P. have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Gimnasia L.P. narrow favourites: Velez Sarsfield 23%, draw 38%, Gimnasia L.P. 39%. We expect around 2.2 goals (0.9 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 38% for over 2.5 and 43% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?
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Gimnasia L.P. are favourites. Our model gives Velez Sarsfield a 23% chance of winning, Gimnasia L.P. 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P.?
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We rate both teams to score at 43%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P. kick off?
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Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia L.P. kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Monday, 11 May 2026 at Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires.
