World Cup· Round of 16· Lumen Field
USA
Belgium1-4
FT
USA vs Belgium Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 7 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More USA vs Belgium tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Belgium +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Belgium or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5USA +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.43 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 65% | 1.54 | - |
| 1XUSA or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | - |
| 2Belgium to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 35% | 2.86 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Belgium -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.30 | - |
| 1USA to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5USA -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.67 | - |
USA vs Belgium preview & analysis
Match preview
USA host Belgium in the World Cup (Round of 16) at Lumen Field on Tuesday, 7 July 2026, with kick-off at 00:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
USA arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0 at home. They're 1st in the table with 6 points from 3 games.
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings between these sides, USA have won 0, Belgium have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 5.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Belgium narrow favourites: USA 23%, draw 38%, Belgium 39%. We expect around 3.4 goals (1.4 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 66% for over 2.5 and 65% for both teams to score.
Recent form
USA- 2 JulHBosnia & Herzegovina2-0
BelgiumHead to head
World Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |  Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 |  Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
USA vs Belgium: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win USA vs Belgium?
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Belgium are favourites. Our model gives USA a 23% chance of winning, Belgium 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in USA vs Belgium?
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We rate both teams to score at 65%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does USA vs Belgium kick off?
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USA vs Belgium kicks off at 00:00 UTC on Tuesday, 7 July 2026 at Lumen Field, Seattle.
