Belgian Pro League· Regular Season - 9· Stade Joseph Marien
Union St. Gilloise
Cercle Brugge25 Oct
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
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More Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Union St. Gilloise +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XUnion St. Gilloise or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Cercle Brugge +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Cercle Brugge or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Union St. Gilloise to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Union St. Gilloise -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Cercle Brugge to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Cercle Brugge -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge preview & analysis
Match preview
Union St. Gilloise host Cercle Brugge in the Belgian Pro League (Regular Season - 9) at Stade Joseph Marien on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Union St. Gilloise arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with Real Sociedad 1-1 at home. They're 4th in the table with 20 points from 8 games. Cercle Brugge are struggling for results, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with Sporting Hasselt 0-0 away. They're 18th in the table with 3 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Union St. Gilloise have won 2, Cercle Brugge have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Union St. Gilloise narrow favourites: Union St. Gilloise 44%, draw 38%, Cercle Brugge 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 60% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Cercle Brugge.
Recent form
Union St. Gilloise- 15 OctHReal Sociedad1-1
- 11 OctHOH Leuven1-1
- 20 SeptAAntwerp2-0
- 17 SeptAPlzen3-0
- 12 SeptHLommel United5-0
Cercle Brugge- 16 OctASporting Hasselt0-0
- 10 OctHAnderlecht1-2
- 19 SeptACharleroi2-3
- 12 SeptAOH Leuven1-1
- 6 SeptHGent0-3
Head to head
Belgian Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +15 | 21 |
| 3 |  Charleroi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 4 | Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +18 | 20 |
| 5 |  Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  KVC Westerlo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 |  Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Standard Liege | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Lommel United | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 |  St. Truiden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Antwerp | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 |  KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 |  OH Leuven | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge: FAQ
What is the Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Cercle Brugge.
Who is the favourite to win Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
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Union St. Gilloise are favourites. Our model gives Union St. Gilloise a 44% chance of winning, Cercle Brugge 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge kick off?
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Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge kicks off at 18:15 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels.
