FA Cup· 2nd Round Qualifying Replays
Truro City
Merthyr Town2-0
FT
Truro City vs Merthyr Town Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 22 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Truro City vs Merthyr Town tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Merthyr Town +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Truro City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 81% | 1.24 | - |
| X2Merthyr Town or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 61% | 1.63 | - |
| 1XTruro City or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2Merthyr Town to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 39% | 2.58 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| 1Truro City to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Merthyr Town -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 19% | 5.17 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.00 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Truro City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.37 | - |
Truro City vs Merthyr Town preview & analysis
Match preview
Truro City host Merthyr Town in the FA Cup (2nd Round Qualifying Replays) on Tuesday, 22 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Merthyr Town arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 3 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 1. Most recently they drew with Truro City 1-1 at home.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Truro City have won 2, Merthyr Town have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Merthyr Town narrow favourites: Truro City 23%, draw 38%, Merthyr Town 39%. We expect around 2.0 goals (0.8 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 32% for over 2.5 and 39% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Truro CityMerthyr Town- 19 SeptHTruro City1-1
- 12 SeptAScarborough Athletic0-0
- 8 SeptAChester1-0
Head to head
Truro City vs Merthyr Town: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Truro City vs Merthyr Town?
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Merthyr Town are favourites. Our model gives Truro City a 23% chance of winning, Merthyr Town 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Truro City vs Merthyr Town?
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We rate both teams to score at 39%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Truro City vs Merthyr Town kick off?
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Truro City vs Merthyr Town kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 22 September 2026.
