Ligue 1· Regular Season - 1· Stadium Municipal
Toulouse
Lyon0-2
FT
Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 22 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Toulouse vs Lyon tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Toulouse +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 86% | 1.17 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Lyon +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 82% | 1.22 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XToulouse or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| X2Lyon or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 53% | 1.89 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 47% | 2.12 | - |
| 1Toulouse to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| 2Lyon to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Toulouse -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 18% | 5.45 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Lyon -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 14% | 6.92 | - |
Toulouse vs Lyon preview & analysis
Match preview
Toulouse host Lyon in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 1) at Stadium Municipal on Saturday, 22 August 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Toulouse have won 2, Lyon have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Toulouse narrow favourites: Toulouse 37%, draw 31%, Lyon 32%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Lille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Rennes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 11 |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Paris Saint Germain | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 |  Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Strasbourg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Angers | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Marseille | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Toulouse vs Lyon: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Toulouse vs Lyon?
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Toulouse are favourites. Our model gives Toulouse a 37% chance of winning, Lyon 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Toulouse vs Lyon?
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We rate both teams to score at 53%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Toulouse vs Lyon kick off?
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Toulouse vs Lyon kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Saturday, 22 August 2026 at Stadium Municipal, Toulouse.
