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Ligue 1· Regular Season - 3· Stadium Municipal
Toulouse logoToulouse
D
Lille logoLille

0-1

FT

Toulouse vs Lille Prediction & Betting Tips

Thursday, 3 September 2026 · Kick-off

No tip was published for this match before kick-off.

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Who will win?

Votes: 0
✓ Our model got it right

How many goals?

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✕ Our model got it wrong

Match probabilities

17%Toulouse
41%Draw
42%Lille
Over 2.5 goals58%
Under 2.5 goals42%
Both teams to score56%
Clean sheet either side44%

Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.

More Toulouse vs Lille tips

SelectionProbabilityFair oddsBest odds
AH2 +1.5Lille +1.5 (Asian Handicap)92%1.08-
X2Lille or Draw83%1.20-
AH1 +1.5Toulouse +1.5 (Asian Handicap)67%1.50-
U3.5Under 3.5 goals65%1.55-
O2.5Over 2.5 goals58%1.73-
1XToulouse or Draw58%1.74-
BTTS YesBoth teams to score56%1.78-
BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score44%2.29-
2Lille to win42%2.36-
U2.5Under 2.5 goals42%2.36-
XDraw41%2.45-
O3.5Over 3.5 goals35%2.83-
AH2 -1.5Lille -1.5 (Asian Handicap)33%2.99-
1Toulouse to win17%5.95-
AH1 -1.5Toulouse -1.5 (Asian Handicap)8%12.98-

Toulouse vs Lille preview & analysis

Match preview

Toulouse host Lille in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 3) at Stadium Municipal on Thursday, 3 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.

Team form

Toulouse arrive in mixed form, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 2. Most recently they drew with Stade Brestois 29 2-2 away. They're 15th in the table with 6 points from 6 games.

Head to head

In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Toulouse have won 1, Lille have won 4 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.2 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.

What the numbers say

Our model makes Lille narrow favourites: Toulouse 17%, draw 41%, Lille 42%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.1 - 1.9 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.

Recent form

Toulouse logoToulouse
D
  • 29 AugAStade Brestois 292-2
Lille logoLille

    Head to head

    12/04/2026Toulouse0-4Lille
    14/09/2025Lille2-1Toulouse
    12/04/2025Toulouse1-2Lille
    05/10/2024Lille2-1Toulouse
    25/02/2024Toulouse3-1Lille
    12/11/2023Lille1-1Toulouse

    Ligue 1 table

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Monaco logoMonaco6420+514
    2Lille logoLille6411+513
    3Rennes logoRennes6411+213
    4Lyon logoLyon6321+711
    5Paris FC logoParis FC6321+411
    6Paris Saint Germain logoParis Saint Germain6321+311
    7Stade Brestois 29 logoStade Brestois 296222+38
    8Lorient logoLorient622208
    9Nice logoNice6222-28
    10Lens logoLens6213+17
    11Strasbourg logoStrasbourg6213-17
    12Angers logoAngers6213-37
    13Marseille logoMarseille6204+16
    14Le Mans logoLe Mans6132-26
    15Toulouse logoToulouse6132-26
    16Auxerre logoAuxerre6204-86
    17Estac Troyes logoEstac Troyes6114-94
    18Le Havre logoLe Havre6024-42

    Toulouse vs Lille: FAQ

    Who is the favourite to win Toulouse vs Lille?

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    Lille are favourites. Our model gives Toulouse a 17% chance of winning, Lille 42%, and the draw 41%.

    Will both teams score in Toulouse vs Lille?

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    We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.

    When does Toulouse vs Lille kick off?

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    Toulouse vs Lille kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Thursday, 3 September 2026 at Stadium Municipal, Toulouse.

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