MLS· Regular Season - 11· BMO Field
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes1-1
FT
Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 2 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5San Jose Earthquakes +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| X2San Jose Earthquakes or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Toronto FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| 1XToronto FC or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | - |
| 2San Jose Earthquakes to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH2 -1.5San Jose Earthquakes -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.06 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 29% | 3.39 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 | - |
| 1Toronto FC to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Toronto FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.24 | - |
Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes preview & analysis
Match preview
Toronto FC host San Jose Earthquakes in the MLS (Regular Season - 11) at BMO Field on Saturday, 2 May 2026, with kick-off at 17:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Toronto FC have won 1, San Jose Earthquakes have won 1 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes San Jose Earthquakes narrow favourites: Toronto FC 23%, draw 38%, San Jose Earthquakes 39%. We expect around 3.8 goals (1.6 - 2.2 in expected goals), with 73% for over 2.5 and 71% for both teams to score.
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +31 | 52 |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | +16 | 51 |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +8 | 50 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +10 | 47 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 46 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 45 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 41 |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 |  San Diego | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 |  Austin | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -17 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 22 |
Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
+
San Jose Earthquakes are favourites. Our model gives Toronto FC a 23% chance of winning, San Jose Earthquakes 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
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We rate both teams to score at 71%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
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Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes kicks off at 17:00 UTC on Saturday, 2 May 2026 at BMO Field, Toronto.
