MLS· Regular Season - 9· BMO Field
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union3-3
FT
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction & Betting Tips
Thursday, 23 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Toronto FC +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XToronto FC or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Philadelphia Union +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Philadelphia Union or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Toronto FC to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Toronto FC -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Philadelphia Union to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Philadelphia Union -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union preview & analysis
Match preview
Toronto FC host Philadelphia Union in the MLS (Regular Season - 9) at BMO Field on Thursday, 23 April 2026, with kick-off at 23:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Toronto FC have won 2, Philadelphia Union have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Toronto FC narrow favourites: Toronto FC 44%, draw 38%, Philadelphia Union 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Head to head
MLS table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | +41 | 66 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +20 | 52 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | +7 | 49 |
| 4 |  Chicago Fire | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +9 | 48 |
| 5 |  Charlotte | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +13 | 45 |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 38 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -15 | 36 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -8 | 36 |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -11 | 33 |
| 12 |  DC United | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | -11 | 33 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | -3 | 32 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -12 | 30 |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -24 | 24 |
Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
+
Toronto FC are favourites. Our model gives Toronto FC a 44% chance of winning, Philadelphia Union 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
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Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union kicks off at 23:30 UTC on Thursday, 23 April 2026 at BMO Field, Toronto.
