Liga MX· Apertura - 2· Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-2
FT
Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 22 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Toluca +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.06 | - |
| 1XToluca or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 63% | 1.59 | - |
| AH2 +1.5U.N.A.M. - Pumas +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| X2U.N.A.M. - Pumas or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 | - |
| 1Toluca to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Toluca -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 37% | 2.70 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | - |
| 2U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5U.N.A.M. - Pumas -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 17.89 | - |
Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas preview & analysis
Match preview
Toluca host U.N.A.M. - Pumas in the Liga MX (Apertura - 2) at Estadio Nemesio Diez on Wednesday, 22 July 2026, with kick-off at 03:05 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Toluca have won 2, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 0 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Toluca favourites: Toluca 47%, draw 41%, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 12%. We expect around 3.7 goals (2.6 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 71% for over 2.5 and 63% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Club Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +7 | 19 |
| 5 |  Club Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 |  Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 |  Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -18 | 4 |
Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
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Toluca are favourites. Our model gives Toluca a 47% chance of winning, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
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We rate both teams to score at 63%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas kick off?
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Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas kicks off at 03:05 UTC on Wednesday, 22 July 2026 at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca.
