Premier League· Regular Season - 4· Stadium of Light
Sunderland
Arsenal0-2
FT
Sunderland vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sunderland vs Arsenal tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Arsenal +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | - |
| X2Arsenal or Draw | 83% | 1.20 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Sunderland +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| 1XSunderland or Draw | 58% | 1.74 | - |
| 2Arsenal to win | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.75 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Arsenal -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.00 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 5.85 | - |
| 1Sunderland to win | 17% | 5.95 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sunderland -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.90 | - |
Sunderland vs Arsenal preview & analysis
Match preview
Sunderland host Arsenal in the Premier League (Regular Season - 4) at Stadium of Light on Saturday, 12 September 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sunderland arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat Hull City 1-0 at home. They're 17th in the table with 4 points from 6 games. Arsenal arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat Napoli 1-0 away. They're 2nd in the table with 15 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sunderland have won 0, Arsenal have won 4 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.3 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Arsenal narrow favourites: Sunderland 17%, draw 41%, Arsenal 42%. We expect around 2.1 goals (0.8 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 36% for over 2.5 and 40% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Sunderland- 8 SeptHHull City1-0
- 5 SeptABrentford1-1
Arsenal- 9 SeptANapoli1-0
Head to head
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 19 |  Tottenham | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 |
Sunderland vs Arsenal: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Sunderland vs Arsenal?
+
Arsenal are favourites. Our model gives Sunderland a 17% chance of winning, Arsenal 42%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Arsenal?
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We rate both teams to score at 40%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Sunderland vs Arsenal kick off?
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Sunderland vs Arsenal kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Saturday, 12 September 2026 at Stadium of Light, Sunderland.
