Austrian Bundesliga· Regular Season - 10· Merkur-Arena
Sturm Graz
Ried25 Oct
Sturm Graz vs Ried Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.68
Expected goals
2.0 - 1.1
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Match probabilities
More Sturm Graz vs Ried tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sturm Graz +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| 1XSturm Graz or Draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.25 |
| AH2 +1.5Ried +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.57 | 1.35 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | 1.49 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.68 | 1.55 |
| 1Sturm Graz to win | 51% | 1.98 | 1.83 |
| X2Ried or Draw | 49% | 2.02 | 2.01 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.47 | 2.32 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.47 | 2.31 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | 2.30 |
| AH1 -1.5Sturm Graz -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.62 | 3.78 |
| 2Ried to win | 22% | 4.57 | 4.22 |
| AH2 -1.5Ried -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.52 | 8.60 |
Sturm Graz vs Ried odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.75 | 3.60 | - | - | 1.55 | 2.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.78 | 4.22 | 1.57 | 2.31 | 1.54 | 2.32 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 3.78 | 4.25 | 1.57 | 2.31 | 1.54 | 2.28 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.60 | - | - | - | - |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.80 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.32 |
Sturm Graz vs Ried preview & analysis
Match preview
Sturm Graz host Ried in the Austrian Bundesliga (Regular Season - 10) at Merkur-Arena on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sturm Graz arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Austria Vienna 2-0 away. They're 4th in the table with 14 points from 8 games. Ried arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 7. Most recently they beat WSG Wattens 2-1 away. They're 5th in the table with 11 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sturm Graz have won 4, Ried have won 0 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 3.0 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sturm Graz favourites: Sturm Graz 51%, draw 28%, Ried 22%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 59% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at 1.57, which our model rates at a 59% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sturm Graz 2-1 Ried.
Recent form
Sturm Graz- 10 OctAAustria Vienna2-0
- 2 OctHFloridsdorfer AC3-1
- 20 SeptARed Bull Salzburg0-3
- 16 SeptHRennes0-0
- 13 SeptHLask Linz2-1
Ried- 10 OctAWSG Wattens2-1
- 2 OctHSKU Amstetten3-3
- 20 SeptHWolfsberger AC4-1
- 11 SeptHRed Bull Salzburg1-1
- 4 SeptAWallern / Marienkirchen5-1
Head to head
Austrian Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +16 | 21 |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +14 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 5 | Ried | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 |  TSV Hartberg | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Grazer AK | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -10 | 9 |
| 8 |  Austria Lustenau | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 |  WSG Wattens | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Austria Vienna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 11 |  SCR Altach | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
Sturm Graz vs Ried: FAQ
What is the Sturm Graz vs Ried prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.57. Our predicted score is Sturm Graz 2-1 Ried.
Who is the favourite to win Sturm Graz vs Ried?
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Sturm Graz are favourites. Our model gives Sturm Graz a 51% chance of winning, Ried 22%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Sturm Graz vs Ried?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sturm Graz vs Ried kick off?
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Sturm Graz vs Ried kicks off at 13:30 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Merkur-Arena, Graz.
