Champions League· 3rd Qualifying Round· Merkur Arena
Sturm Graz
Fenerbahçe0-1
FT
Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 11 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Fenerbahçe +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 91% | 1.09 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Sturm Graz +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 79% | 1.26 | - |
| X2Fenerbahçe or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XSturm Graz or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 2Fenerbahçe to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.75 | - |
| 1Sturm Graz to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Fenerbahçe -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 21% | 4.82 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 5.85 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sturm Graz -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 9% | 11.65 | - |
Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe preview & analysis
Match preview
Sturm Graz host Fenerbahçe in the Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round) at Merkur Arena on Tuesday, 11 August 2026, with kick-off at 18:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Sturm Graz have won 0, Fenerbahçe have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.3 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Fenerbahçe narrow favourites: Sturm Graz 23%, draw 38%, Fenerbahçe 39%. We expect around 2.1 goals (0.9 - 1.3 in expected goals), with 36% for over 2.5 and 42% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 26 |  PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 |  Viking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 28 | Fenerbahçe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | 1 |
| 29 |  Inter | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |  FC Porto | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe?
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Fenerbahçe are favourites. Our model gives Sturm Graz a 23% chance of winning, Fenerbahçe 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe?
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We rate both teams to score at 42%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe kick off?
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Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe kicks off at 18:30 UTC on Tuesday, 11 August 2026 at Merkur Arena, Graz.
