League One· Regular Season - 12· Lamex Stadium
Stevenage
Plymouth20 Oct
Stevenage vs Plymouth Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Under 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
0-1
Fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.1 - 1.5
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Stevenage vs Plymouth tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Plymouth +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.11 | - |
| X2Plymouth or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Stevenage +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 75% | 1.33 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | - |
| 1XStevenage or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 49% | 2.06 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | - |
| 2Plymouth to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.79 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Plymouth -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 25% | 4.07 | - |
| 1Stevenage to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Stevenage -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 10.13 | - |
Stevenage vs Plymouth preview & analysis
Match preview
Stevenage host Plymouth in the League One (Regular Season - 12) at Lamex Stadium on Tuesday, 20 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Stevenage arrive in superb form, with 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Most recently they beat Wigan 1-0 at home. They're 9th in the table with 12 points from 8 games. Plymouth arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat AFC Wimbledon 2-1 at home. They're 1st in the table with 19 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Stevenage have won 0, Plymouth have won 5 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.7 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Plymouth narrow favourites: Stevenage 23%, draw 38%, Plymouth 39%. We expect around 2.6 goals (1.1 - 1.5 in expected goals), with 48% for over 2.5 and 51% for both teams to score.
Our tip
This shapes up as a tight, low-event game, and goals could be at a premium. Our pick is Under 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 52% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Stevenage 0-1 Plymouth.
Recent form
Stevenage- 10 OctHWigan1-0
- 6 OctHLeicester2-1
- 22 SeptAWalsall6-1
- 19 SeptALeyton Orient0-1
- 10 SeptHLuton2-1
Plymouth- 10 OctHAFC Wimbledon2-1
- 6 OctANewport County2-2
- 3 OctALeyton Orient2-0
- 26 SeptHBurton Albion0-1
- 22 SeptHCrystal Palace U215-1
Head to head
League One table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 |  Bradford | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 |  Huddersfield | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 7 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 8 |  Oxford United | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 10 |  Burton Albion | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 |  AFC Wimbledon | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
Stevenage vs Plymouth: FAQ
What is the Stevenage vs Plymouth prediction?
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Our tip is Under 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Stevenage 0-1 Plymouth.
Who is the favourite to win Stevenage vs Plymouth?
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Plymouth are favourites. Our model gives Stevenage a 23% chance of winning, Plymouth 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Stevenage vs Plymouth?
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We rate both teams to score at 51%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Stevenage vs Plymouth kick off?
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Stevenage vs Plymouth kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at Lamex Stadium, Stevenage.
