World Cup· Quarter-finals· SoFi Stadium
Spain
Belgium2-1
FT
Spain vs Belgium Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 10 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Spain vs Belgium tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Spain +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XSpain or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Belgium +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Belgium or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Spain to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Spain -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.79 | - |
| 2Belgium to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Belgium -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.34 | - |
Spain vs Belgium preview & analysis
Match preview
Spain host Belgium in the World Cup (Quarter-finals) at SoFi Stadium on Friday, 10 July 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Belgium arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat USA 4-1 away. They're 1st in the table with 5 points from 3 games.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Spain narrow favourites: Spain 44%, draw 38%, Belgium 18%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Recent form
SpainBelgium- 7 JulAUSA4-1
World Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +4 | 5 |
| 2 |  Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 3 |  Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 |  New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | 1 |
Spain vs Belgium: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Spain vs Belgium?
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Spain are favourites. Our model gives Spain a 44% chance of winning, Belgium 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Spain vs Belgium?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Spain vs Belgium kick off?
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Spain vs Belgium kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Friday, 10 July 2026 at SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles.