World Cup· Final· MetLife Stadium
Spain
Argentina1-0
FT
Spain vs Argentina Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 19 July 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Spain vs Argentina tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Spain +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XSpain or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Argentina +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 66% | 1.52 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Argentina or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Spain to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Spain -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 34% | 2.92 | - |
| 2Argentina to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Argentina -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.68 | - |
Spain vs Argentina preview & analysis
Match preview
Spain host Argentina in the World Cup (Final) at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, 19 July 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Spain arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 1 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 0. Most recently they beat France 2-0 away. They're 1st in the table with 7 points from 3 games. Argentina arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 2 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 2. Most recently they beat England 2-1 away.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Spain have won 1, Argentina have won 0 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 7.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Spain narrow favourites: Spain 44%, draw 38%, Argentina 18%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.0 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 60% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Spain- 14 JulAFrance2-0
Argentina- 15 JulAEngland2-1
- 12 JulHSwitzerland3-1
Head to head
World Cup table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 2 |  Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 |  Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | 2 |
Spain vs Argentina: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Spain vs Argentina?
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Spain are favourites. Our model gives Spain a 44% chance of winning, Argentina 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Spain vs Argentina?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Spain vs Argentina kick off?
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Spain vs Argentina kicks off at 19:00 UTC on Sunday, 19 July 2026 at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford.