Championship· Regular Season - 2· St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton
Stoke City3-1
FT
Southampton vs Stoke City Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 22 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Southampton vs Stoke City tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Southampton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XSouthampton or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Stoke City +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 67% | 1.50 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | - |
| X2Stoke City or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Southampton to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Southampton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 33% | 3.00 | - |
| 2Stoke City to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Stoke City -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.88 | - |
Southampton vs Stoke City preview & analysis
Match preview
Southampton host Stoke City in the Championship (Regular Season - 2) at St. Mary's Stadium on Saturday, 22 August 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Southampton have won 3, Stoke City have won 2 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Southampton narrow favourites: Southampton 44%, draw 38%, Stoke City 18%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.9 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 58% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |  QPR | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 | Southampton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +11 | 16 |
| 8 | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Wolves | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
Southampton vs Stoke City: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Southampton vs Stoke City?
+
Southampton are favourites. Our model gives Southampton a 44% chance of winning, Stoke City 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Southampton vs Stoke City?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Southampton vs Stoke City kick off?
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Southampton vs Stoke City kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 22 August 2026 at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton.
