Championship· Regular Season - 9· St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton
Portsmouth1-0
FT
Southampton vs Portsmouth Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Southampton vs Portsmouth tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Southampton +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 97% | 1.03 | 1.01 |
| 1XSouthampton or Draw | 84% | 1.18 | 1.15 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | 1.54 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | 1.51 |
| 1Southampton to win | 59% | 1.68 | 1.54 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 58% | 1.73 | 1.62 |
| AH2 +1.5Portsmouth +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 52% | 1.93 | 1.50 |
| AH1 -1.5Southampton -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 48% | 2.08 | 2.29 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.37 | 2.20 |
| X2Portsmouth or Draw | 41% | 2.47 | 2.45 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | 2.26 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.54 | 2.38 |
| XDraw | 25% | 4.00 | 4.70 |
| 2Portsmouth to win | 16% | 6.43 | 5.80 |
| AH2 -1.5Portsmouth -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 3% | 30.29 | 9.70 |
Southampton vs Portsmouth odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.50 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.54 | 4.30 | 5.30 | 1.54 | 2.38 | 1.61 | 2.18 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 4.70 | 5.80 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.33 | 6.00 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 4.30 | 5.40 | 1.54 | 2.38 | 1.61 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.33 | 6.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.57 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.75 | 1.52 | 2.31 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.58 | 6.02 | 1.56 | 2.55 | - | - |
| SBO | 1.49 | 4.17 | 5.13 | 1.62 | 2.28 | - | - |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.40 | 6.20 | 1.60 | 2.40 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
Southampton vs Portsmouth preview & analysis
Match preview
Southampton host Portsmouth in the Championship (Regular Season - 9) at St. Mary's Stadium on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 11:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Southampton arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Wrexham 1-2 away. They're 13th in the table with 13 points from 9 games. Portsmouth arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Most recently they drew with Blackburn 2-2 at home. They're 20th in the table with 8 points from 8 games.
Head to head
In the last 5 meetings between these sides, Southampton have won 1, Portsmouth have won 0 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 2.4 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Southampton favourites: Southampton 59%, draw 25%, Portsmouth 16%. We expect around 3.1 goals (2.3 - 0.8 in expected goals), with 61% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Southampton- 19 SeptAWrexham1-2
- 12 SeptHBristol City4-1
- 8 SeptHSwansea3-1
- 5 SeptALincoln1-1
- 1 SeptABirmingham1-1
Portsmouth- 19 SeptHBlackburn2-2
- 12 SeptACharlton0-0
- 5 SeptHCardiff2-0
- 1 SeptHDerby0-2
- 29 AugABristol City1-2
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 17 |
| 11 |  Bristol City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |  Charlton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Southampton | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 13 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 18 |  Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 19 |  Norwich | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
Southampton vs Portsmouth: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Southampton vs Portsmouth?
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Southampton are favourites. Our model gives Southampton a 59% chance of winning, Portsmouth 16%, and the draw 25%.
Will both teams score in Southampton vs Portsmouth?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Southampton vs Portsmouth kick off?
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Southampton vs Portsmouth kicks off at 11:00 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton.
