Champions League· League Stage - 5· Stamford Bridge
Shakhtar Donetsk
Fenerbahçe25 Nov
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 25 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-0
Fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
1.9 - 1.0
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Match probabilities
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More Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Shakhtar Donetsk +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.08 | - |
| 1XShakhtar Donetsk or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Fenerbahçe +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Fenerbahçe or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 45% | 2.21 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| 1Shakhtar Donetsk to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Shakhtar Donetsk -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 32% | 3.08 | - |
| 2Fenerbahçe to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Fenerbahçe -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 13.10 | - |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe preview & analysis
Match preview
Shakhtar Donetsk host Fenerbahçe in the Champions League (League Stage - 5) at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday, 25 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Shakhtar Donetsk arrive in superb form, with 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 1. Most recently they beat AEK Athens FC 3-1 at home. They're 11th in the table with 4 points from 2 games. Fenerbahçe arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 6. Most recently they lost to Aston Villa 0-6 away. They're 28th in the table with 1 point from 2 games.
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings between these sides, Shakhtar Donetsk have won 1, Fenerbahçe have won 1 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 1.3 goals, and both teams scored in 0 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Shakhtar Donetsk narrow favourites: Shakhtar Donetsk 44%, draw 38%, Fenerbahçe 18%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.9 - 1.0 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 55% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Fenerbahçe.
Recent form
Shakhtar Donetsk- 14 OctHAEK Athens FC3-1
- 9 OctAVeres Rivne3-0
- 2 OctHKryvbas KR3-0
- 20 SeptHLNZ Cherkasy3-0
- 17 SeptAVilkhivtsi3-0
Fenerbahçe- 14 OctAAston Villa0-6
- 10 OctARizespor3-0
- 3 OctATuran2-0
- 20 SeptHEyüpspor8-0
- 14 SeptAGaziantep FK0-0
Head to head
Champions League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 |  Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 3 |  Aston Villa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 9 |  Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |  Bayern München | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Como | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 26 |  PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 |  Viking | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 28 | Fenerbahçe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -6 | 1 |
| 29 |  Inter | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |  FC Porto | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe: FAQ
What is the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Fenerbahçe.
Who is the favourite to win Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe?
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Shakhtar Donetsk are favourites. Our model gives Shakhtar Donetsk a 44% chance of winning, Fenerbahçe 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe?
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We rate both teams to score at 55%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe kick off?
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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe kicks off at 20:00 UTC on Wednesday, 25 November 2026 at Stamford Bridge, London.
