Serie A· Regular Season - 6· Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Sassuolo
AC Milan1-1
FT
Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
More Sassuolo vs AC Milan tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5AC Milan +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 94% | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| X2AC Milan or Draw | 79% | 1.26 | 1.26 |
| AH1 +1.5Sassuolo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.56 | 1.33 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 59% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | 1.74 |
| 2AC Milan to win | 51% | 1.97 | 1.89 |
| 1XSassuolo or Draw | 49% | 2.03 | 2.02 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 | 2.28 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 41% | 2.41 | 2.25 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.76 | 2.56 |
| AH2 -1.5AC Milan -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.77 | 3.04 |
| XDraw | 28% | 3.53 | 3.94 |
| 1Sassuolo to win | 21% | 4.78 | 4.32 |
| AH1 -1.5Sassuolo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 6% | 15.50 | 8.50 |
Sassuolo vs AC Milan odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.83 | - | - | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 1xBet | 4.32 | 3.94 | 1.89 | 1.74 | 2.28 | 1.60 | 2.22 |
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 3.80 | 1.87 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 1.67 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 4.20 | 3.82 | 1.83 | 1.68 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 2.19 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.60 | 1.80 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.83 | 1.62 | 2.11 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.23 | 3.86 | 1.88 | 1.68 | 2.29 | - | - |
| SBO | 3.94 | 3.60 | 1.84 | 1.69 | 2.26 | - | - |
| Betano | 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.85 | 1.70 | 2.22 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
Sassuolo vs AC Milan preview & analysis
Match preview
Sassuolo host AC Milan in the Serie A (Regular Season - 6) at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sassuolo arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Most recently they lost to Monza 1-2 away. They're 11th in the table with 8 points from 6 games. AC Milan arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Most recently they beat Lecce 3-0 at home. They're 5th in the table with 12 points from 6 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sassuolo have won 2, AC Milan have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 4.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes AC Milan favourites: Sassuolo 21%, draw 28%, AC Milan 51%. We expect around 3.0 goals (1.0 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 57% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Sassuolo- 18 SeptAMonza1-2
- 13 SeptHJuventus3-2
- 6 SeptABologna2-2
- 2 SeptHFrosinone1-1
- 29 AugHTorino2-1
AC Milan- 20 SeptHLecce3-0
- 16 SeptHBenfica0-2
- 12 SeptALazio2-2
- 6 SeptAJuventus1-1
- 28 AugHVenezia2-0
Head to head
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Monza | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 0 |
Sassuolo vs AC Milan: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
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AC Milan are favourites. Our model gives Sassuolo a 21% chance of winning, AC Milan 51%, and the draw 28%.
Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
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We rate both teams to score at 59%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sassuolo vs AC Milan kick off?
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Sassuolo vs AC Milan kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia.
