Eliteserien· Regular Season - 27· Sarpsborg Stadion
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom22 Nov
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 22 November 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
1-2
Fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
1.3 - 2.0
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Lillestrom +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Lillestrom or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Sarpsborg 08 FF +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 70% | 1.42 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 64% | 1.57 | - |
| 1XSarpsborg 08 FF or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| 2Lillestrom to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 36% | 2.74 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Lillestrom -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 30% | 3.37 | - |
| 1Sarpsborg 08 FF to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sarpsborg 08 FF -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 8.80 | - |
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom preview & analysis
Match preview
Sarpsborg 08 FF host Lillestrom in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 27) at Sarpsborg Stadion on Sunday, 22 November 2026, with kick-off at 18:15 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sarpsborg 08 FF arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Aalesund 4-2 away. They're 9th in the table with 28 points from 22 games. Lillestrom arrive in mixed form, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Most recently they drew with Sparta Praha 1-1 away. They're 6th in the table with 33 points from 22 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 2, Lillestrom have won 3 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 3.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Lillestrom narrow favourites: Sarpsborg 08 FF 23%, draw 38%, Lillestrom 39%. We expect around 3.3 goals (1.3 - 2.0 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-2 Lillestrom.
Recent form
Sarpsborg 08 FF- 11 OctAAalesund4-2
- 30 SeptAFollo2-0
- 18 SeptHKFUM Oslo1-3
- 13 SeptAFredrikstad1-1
- 6 SeptHValerenga2-2
Lillestrom- 15 OctASparta Praha1-1
- 11 OctHMolde2-2
- 1 OctABærum5-1
- 20 SeptAViking0-3
- 17 SeptHTorreense1-2
Head to head
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +11 | 39 |
| 4 |  Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 |  Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 |  Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 |  Ham-Kam | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 |  Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -24 | 16 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom: FAQ
What is the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-2 Lillestrom.
Who is the favourite to win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom?
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Lillestrom are favourites. Our model gives Sarpsborg 08 FF a 23% chance of winning, Lillestrom 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom?
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We rate both teams to score at 64%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom kick off?
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Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom kicks off at 18:15 UTC on Sunday, 22 November 2026 at Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg.
