Eliteserien· Regular Season - 12· Sarpsborg Stadion
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Aalesund25 Oct
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Over 2.5 goals
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
2.1 - 1.2
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Match probabilities
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More Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sarpsborg 08 FF +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| 1XSarpsborg 08 FF or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Aalesund +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 64% | 1.56 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 61% | 1.64 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | - |
| X2Aalesund or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| 1Sarpsborg 08 FF to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 39% | 2.57 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sarpsborg 08 FF -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 36% | 2.79 | - |
| 2Aalesund to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Aalesund -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 8% | 12.34 | - |
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund preview & analysis
Match preview
Sarpsborg 08 FF host Aalesund in the Eliteserien (Regular Season - 12) at Sarpsborg Stadion on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Sarpsborg 08 FF arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Most recently they beat Aalesund 4-2 away. They're 9th in the table with 28 points from 22 games. Aalesund arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-4 at home. They're 14th in the table with 21 points from 22 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 4, Aalesund have won 2 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 3.8 goals, and both teams scored in 5 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sarpsborg 08 FF narrow favourites: Sarpsborg 08 FF 44%, draw 38%, Aalesund 18%. We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 - 1.2 in expected goals), with 64% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both teams' recent games have been open, and our goals model expects this one to follow suit. Our pick is Over 2.5 goals, which our model rates at a 64% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-1 Aalesund.
Recent form
Sarpsborg 08 FF- 11 OctAAalesund4-2
- 30 SeptAFollo2-0
- 18 SeptHKFUM Oslo1-3
- 13 SeptAFredrikstad1-1
- 6 SeptHValerenga2-2
Aalesund- 11 OctHSarpsborg 08 FF2-4
- 19 SeptAMolde2-1
- 16 SeptAFørde4-3
- 13 SeptAKFUM Oslo1-2
- 4 SeptHStart2-0
Head to head
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +11 | 39 |
| 4 |  Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 |  Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 |  Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 |  Ham-Kam | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 |  Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -24 | 16 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund: FAQ
What is the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund prediction?
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Our tip is Over 2.5 goals. Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 2-1 Aalesund.
Who is the favourite to win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?
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Sarpsborg 08 FF are favourites. Our model gives Sarpsborg 08 FF a 44% chance of winning, Aalesund 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund?
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We rate both teams to score at 61%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund kick off?
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Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Aalesund kicks off at 16:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg.
