Copa Sudamericana· Round of 16· Estadio Do MorumBIS
Sao Paulo
Bolívar3-1
FT
Sao Paulo vs Bolívar Prediction & Betting Tips
Wednesday, 19 August 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Sao Paulo vs Bolívar tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Sao Paulo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 90% | 1.12 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Bolívar +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.18 | - |
| 1XSao Paulo or Draw | 70% | 1.44 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| X2Bolívar or Draw | 62% | 1.61 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 61% | 1.63 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 39% | 2.59 | - |
| 1Sao Paulo to win | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| XDraw | 32% | 3.14 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.23 | - |
| 2Bolívar to win | 30% | 3.29 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Sao Paulo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.53 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 7.46 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bolívar -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 10% | 9.59 | - |
Sao Paulo vs Bolívar preview & analysis
Match preview
Sao Paulo host Bolívar in the Copa Sudamericana (Round of 16) at Estadio Do MorumBIS on Wednesday, 19 August 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting between these sides, Sao Paulo have won 0, Bolívar have won 0 and 1 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Sao Paulo narrow favourites: Sao Paulo 38%, draw 32%, Bolívar 30%. We expect around 2.0 goals (1.1 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 31% for over 2.5 and 39% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Copa Sudamericana table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  O'Higgins | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 3 |  Millonarios | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 |  Boston River | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
Sao Paulo vs Bolívar: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Sao Paulo vs Bolívar?
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Sao Paulo are favourites. Our model gives Sao Paulo a 38% chance of winning, Bolívar 30%, and the draw 32%.
Will both teams score in Sao Paulo vs Bolívar?
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We rate both teams to score at 39%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does Sao Paulo vs Bolívar kick off?
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Sao Paulo vs Bolívar kicks off at 00:30 UTC on Wednesday, 19 August 2026 at Estadio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo.
