Brasileirão· Regular Season - 32· Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Santos
Bahia25 Oct
Santos vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Kick-off
Our prediction
Both teams to score
18+ · T&Cs apply
Predicted score
2-1
Fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
1.5 - 1.4
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Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Santos vs Bahia tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Santos +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 84% | 1.19 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Bahia +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 80% | 1.25 | - |
| 1XSantos or Draw | 68% | 1.48 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | - |
| X2Bahia or Draw | 63% | 1.58 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 42% | 2.41 | - |
| 1Santos to win | 37% | 2.72 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.03 | - |
| 2Bahia to win | 32% | 3.09 | - |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Santos -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 20% | 5.01 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Bahia -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 16% | 6.40 | - |
Santos vs Bahia preview & analysis
Match preview
Santos host Bahia in the Brasileirão (Regular Season - 32) at Estadio Urbano Caldeira on Sunday, 25 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Santos arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Most recently they lost to Atletico-MG 1-2 away. They're 8th in the table with 42 points from 30 games. Bahia arrive in mixed form, with 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Most recently they beat Mirassol 1-0 at home. They're 5th in the table with 49 points from 30 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Santos have won 1, Bahia have won 1 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Santos narrow favourites: Santos 37%, draw 31%, Bahia 32%. We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 - 1.4 in expected goals), with 55% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
Our tip
Both attacks are firing and neither defence has been keeping clean sheets. We expect goals at both ends. Our pick is Both teams to score, which our model rates at a 58% chance. For a bigger price, the most likely correct score is Santos 2-1 Bahia.
Recent form
Santos- 11 OctAAtletico-MG1-2
- 8 OctHFlamengo2-2
- 3 OctASao Paulo2-1
- 19 SeptARemo2-1
- 16 SeptAAtletico-MG2-4
Bahia- 11 OctHMirassol1-0
- 9 OctAPalmeiras0-1
- 20 SeptAAtletico Paranaense1-2
- 15 SeptHRemo2-1
- 5 SeptARB Bragantino3-2
Head to head
Brasileirão table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | +33 | 64 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +30 | 63 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +14 | 53 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 51 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +8 | 49 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 48 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 |  Coritiba | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Botafogo | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 |  Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 |  Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -31 | 18 |
Santos vs Bahia: FAQ
What is the Santos vs Bahia prediction?
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Our tip is Both teams to score. Our predicted score is Santos 2-1 Bahia.
Who is the favourite to win Santos vs Bahia?
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Santos are favourites. Our model gives Santos a 37% chance of winning, Bahia 32%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Santos vs Bahia?
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We rate both teams to score at 58%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Santos vs Bahia kick off?
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Santos vs Bahia kicks off at 00:00 UTC on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos.
