Liga Profesional· Apertura - 9· Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo
Independiente1-2
FT
San Lorenzo vs Independiente Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 2 May 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More San Lorenzo vs Independiente tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Independiente +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 | - |
| AH1 +1.5San Lorenzo +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 85% | 1.18 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| X2Independiente or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 71% | 1.42 | - |
| 1XSan Lorenzo or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| 2Independiente to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 29% | 3.41 | - |
| 1San Lorenzo to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 22% | 4.62 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Independiente -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 15% | 6.54 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 8% | 12.69 | - |
| AH1 -1.5San Lorenzo -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 15.21 | - |
San Lorenzo vs Independiente preview & analysis
Match preview
San Lorenzo host Independiente in the Liga Profesional (Apertura - 9) at Estadio Pedro Bidegain on Saturday, 2 May 2026, with kick-off at 21:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, San Lorenzo have won 0, Independiente have won 1 and 5 ended level. Those games averaged 1.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Independiente narrow favourites: San Lorenzo 23%, draw 38%, Independiente 39%. We expect around 1.6 goals (0.7 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 22% for over 2.5 and 29% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Liga Profesional table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | +6 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -7 | 11 |
San Lorenzo vs Independiente: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win San Lorenzo vs Independiente?
+
Independiente are favourites. Our model gives San Lorenzo a 23% chance of winning, Independiente 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in San Lorenzo vs Independiente?
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We rate both teams to score at 29%, so BTTS No is the better bet.
When does San Lorenzo vs Independiente kick off?
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San Lorenzo vs Independiente kicks off at 21:45 UTC on Saturday, 2 May 2026 at Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires.
