Bundesliga· Regular Season - 31· Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin3-1
FT
RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin Prediction & Betting Tips
Friday, 24 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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More RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5RB Leipzig +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 95% | 1.05 | - |
| 1XRB Leipzig or Draw | 88% | 1.14 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Union Berlin +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 63% | 1.60 | - |
| X2Union Berlin or Draw | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 50% | 1.99 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 50% | 2.01 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | - |
| 1RB Leipzig to win | 47% | 2.14 | - |
| XDraw | 41% | 2.45 | - |
| AH1 -1.5RB Leipzig -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 37% | 2.67 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | - |
| 2Union Berlin to win | 12% | 8.06 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Union Berlin -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 5% | 19.47 | - |
RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin preview & analysis
Match preview
RB Leipzig host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 31) at Red Bull Arena on Friday, 24 April 2026, with kick-off at 18:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, RB Leipzig have won 2, Union Berlin have won 2 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 2 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes RB Leipzig favourites: RB Leipzig 47%, draw 41%, Union Berlin 12%. We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 53% for over 2.5 and 50% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 | 89 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +36 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 | 65 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 | 62 |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 | 61 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 59 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -4 | 44 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -16 | 43 |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 39 |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 38 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 | 32 |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -24 | 29 |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 26 |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 | 26 |
RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin?
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RB Leipzig are favourites. Our model gives RB Leipzig a 47% chance of winning, Union Berlin 12%, and the draw 41%.
Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin?
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We rate both teams to score at 50%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin kick off?
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RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin kicks off at 18:30 UTC on Friday, 24 April 2026 at Red Bull Arena, Leipzig.
