Championship· Regular Season - 45· Loftus Road
QPR
Derby2-3
FT
QPR vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips
Saturday, 25 April 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
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Votes: 0Match probabilities
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More QPR vs Derby tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5QPR +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 93% | 1.07 | - |
| 1XQPR or Draw | 82% | 1.23 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | - |
| AH2 +1.5Derby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 72% | 1.38 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | - |
| X2Derby or Draw | 56% | 1.78 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 55% | 1.83 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 45% | 2.20 | - |
| 1QPR to win | 44% | 2.28 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| AH1 -1.5QPR -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 28% | 3.62 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.52 | - |
| 2Derby to win | 18% | 5.43 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Derby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 7% | 14.62 | - |
QPR vs Derby preview & analysis
Match preview
QPR host Derby in the Championship (Regular Season - 45) at Loftus Road on Saturday, 25 April 2026, with kick-off at 14:00 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, QPR have won 3, Derby have won 3 and 0 ended level. Those games averaged 2.0 goals, and both teams scored in 1 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes QPR narrow favourites: QPR 44%, draw 38%, Derby 18%. We expect around 2.4 goals (1.5 - 0.9 in expected goals), with 43% for over 2.5 and 45% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | +52 | 95 |
| 2 |  Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | +33 | 84 |
| 3 |  Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 | 83 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +26 | 80 |
| 6 |  Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | +4 | 73 |
| 7 |  Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | +4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | +8 | 69 |
| 9 |  Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | +7 | 65 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | +1 | 64 |
| 13 |  Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 |  Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 |  Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 |  Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | -5 | 55 |
QPR vs Derby: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win QPR vs Derby?
+
QPR are favourites. Our model gives QPR a 44% chance of winning, Derby 18%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in QPR vs Derby?
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We rate both teams to score at 45%, so it's close to a coin flip.
When does QPR vs Derby kick off?
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QPR vs Derby kicks off at 14:00 UTC on Saturday, 25 April 2026 at Loftus Road, London.
