Championship· Regular Season - 4· Fratton Park
Portsmouth
Derby0-2
FT
Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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Fan vote
Voting closed at kick-offWho will win?
Votes: 0How many goals?
Votes: 0Match probabilities
Bookmaker prices aren't available yet. These figures come from our stats model and will update when markets open.
More Portsmouth vs Derby tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH2 +1.5Derby +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 88% | 1.13 | - |
| X2Derby or Draw | 77% | 1.30 | - |
| AH1 +1.5Portsmouth +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 69% | 1.45 | - |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | - |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 66% | 1.50 | - |
| 1XPortsmouth or Draw | 61% | 1.65 | - |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | - |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | - |
| 2Derby to win | 39% | 2.54 | - |
| XDraw | 38% | 2.65 | - |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 34% | 2.98 | - |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 | - |
| AH2 -1.5Derby -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 31% | 3.23 | - |
| 1Portsmouth to win | 23% | 4.39 | - |
| AH1 -1.5Portsmouth -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 12% | 8.55 | - |
Portsmouth vs Derby preview & analysis
Match preview
Portsmouth host Derby in the Championship (Regular Season - 4) at Fratton Park on Tuesday, 1 September 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Portsmouth have won 0, Derby have won 2 and 4 ended level. Those games averaged 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Derby narrow favourites: Portsmouth 23%, draw 38%, Derby 39%. We expect around 3.5 goals (1.4 - 2.1 in expected goals), with 68% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.
Head to head
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 21 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 14 |  Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sheffield Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 18 |  Lincoln | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 21 |  Burnley | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 22 |  Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 |
| 24 |  Preston | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 4 |
Portsmouth vs Derby: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Portsmouth vs Derby?
+
Derby are favourites. Our model gives Portsmouth a 23% chance of winning, Derby 39%, and the draw 38%.
Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Derby?
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We rate both teams to score at 66%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Portsmouth vs Derby kick off?
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Portsmouth vs Derby kicks off at 18:45 UTC on Tuesday, 1 September 2026 at Fratton Park, Portsmouth.
