Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 10· Florian-Krygier-Stadion
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce2-0
FT
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce Prediction & Betting Tips
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Kick-off
No tip was published for this match before kick-off.
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More Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce tips
| Selection | Probability | Fair odds | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| AH1 +1.5Pogon Szczecin +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 89% | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| AH2 +1.5Korona Kielce +1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 76% | 1.32 | 1.17 |
| 1XPogon Szczecin or Draw | 73% | 1.38 | 1.36 |
| U3.5Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | 1.30 |
| X2Korona Kielce or Draw | 58% | 1.72 | 1.60 |
| BTTS YesBoth teams to score | 56% | 1.78 | 1.67 |
| O2.5Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| U2.5Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 | 1.89 |
| BTTS NoBoth teams NOT to score | 44% | 2.29 | 2.10 |
| 1Pogon Szczecin to win | 42% | 2.40 | 2.33 |
| XDraw | 31% | 3.24 | 3.40 |
| O3.5Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.25 | 2.97 |
| 2Korona Kielce to win | 27% | 3.65 | 3.10 |
| AH1 -1.5Pogon Szczecin -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 24% | 4.11 | 4.00 |
| AH2 -1.5Korona Kielce -1.5 (Asian Handicap) | 11% | 9.11 | 5.95 |
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce odds comparison
Best price in each market highlighted.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | O2.5 | U2.5 | BTTS | No BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 | - | - | 1.67 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.02 | 1.84 | 1.89 | 1.67 | 2.08 |
| Dafabet | 2.33 | 3.40 | 3.10 | - | - | - | - |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.62 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.84 | 1.89 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.79 | 1.88 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.39 | 3.10 | 3.37 | 1.93 | 1.94 | - | - |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.15 | 3.00 | 1.90 | 1.94 | - | - |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 1.87 | 1.91 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce preview & analysis
Match preview
Pogon Szczecin host Korona Kielce in the Ekstraklasa (Regular Season - 10) at Florian-Krygier-Stadion on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UTC. Here's our full prediction, built from bookmaker prices, current form and head-to-head data.
Team form
Pogon Szczecin arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Most recently they drew with Udinese 1-1 at home. They're 4th in the table with 18 points from 9 games. Korona Kielce arrive in mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Most recently they lost to Legia Warszawa 1-5 away. They're 8th in the table with 15 points from 10 games.
Head to head
In the last 6 meetings between these sides, Pogon Szczecin have won 3, Korona Kielce have won 1 and 2 ended level. Those games averaged 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 of them.
What the numbers say
Our model makes Pogon Szczecin narrow favourites: Pogon Szczecin 42%, draw 31%, Korona Kielce 27%. We expect around 2.7 goals (1.6 - 1.1 in expected goals), with 51% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
Recent form
Pogon Szczecin- 26 SeptHUdinese1-1
- 20 SeptAPiast Gliwice2-1
- 13 SeptHWieczysta Kraków2-0
- 7 SeptHWisla Plock1-1
- 3 SeptASlask Wroclaw1-2
Korona Kielce- 3 OctALegia Warszawa1-5
- 19 SeptHRaków Częstochowa3-2
- 15 SeptHGornik Zabrze0-2
- 12 SeptASlask Wroclaw2-1
- 5 SeptHWisla Krakow1-1
Head to head
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 22 |
| 3 |  Legia Warszawa | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 |  GKS Katowice | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Wisla Krakow | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Zaglebie Lubin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Cracovia Krakow | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 |  Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 |  Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 |  Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -12 | 3 |
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce: FAQ
Who is the favourite to win Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
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Pogon Szczecin are favourites. Our model gives Pogon Szczecin a 42% chance of winning, Korona Kielce 27%, and the draw 31%.
Will both teams score in Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?
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We rate both teams to score at 56%, so BTTS Yes is likely.
When does Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce kick off?
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Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce kicks off at 15:30 UTC on Sunday, 11 October 2026 at Florian-Krygier-Stadion, Szczecin.
